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Nonfarm Payroll Surge

Kentucky Mortgage Information

Kentucky Mortgage Information

Nonfarm payrolls surged in April as firms added 244,000 new jobs during the month. The consensus expected payrolls to increase by only 200,000 jobs.

On top of the April gains, payrolls in February and March were revised up from 194,000 and 216,000, respectively, to 235,000 and 221,000. This marks the seventh straight monthly increase in Nonfarm payrolls.  Most view this report as much more valuable than the Unemployment Rate.

It is no coincidence that we have seen some stronger than expected monthly gains in Existing Home Sales because demand for housing is, of course, directly tied to jobs.

What Happened to Rates Last Week

Kentucky Mortgage Information

Kentucky Mortgage Information

Mortgage backed securities (MBS) gained +275 basis points last week which helped to push 30 year fixed rates to close at their lowest levels since November 2010.  Why the big decrease in mortgage rates?  Well, its another Greek tragedy.  Greece is part of the P.I.I.G.S (Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Greece and Spain).  The P.I.I.G.S are viewed by all the rating agencies as having a higher potential to default on their debt compared to the rest of the European Union (EU).  In fact, Greece has already had one major bailout from the IMF and the EU.  U.S. Treasuries and Mortgage Backed Securities had huge gains last week due to wide speculation that Greece would need another bailout and there were even reports that they threatened to leave the EU.

What to Watch Out For This Week

The following are the major economic reports that will hit the market this week.  They each have the ability to affect the pricing of Mortgage Backed Securities and therefore, interest rates for Government and Conventional mortgages.  We will be watching these reports closely for you and let you know if there are any big surprises:

Date ET Release For
10-May 8:30 Export Prices ex-ag. Apr
10-May 8:30 Import Prices ex-oil Apr
10-May 10:00 Wholesale Inventories Mar
11-May 7:00 MBA Mortgage Index 6-May
11-May 8:30 Trade Balance Mar
11-May 10:30 Crude Inventories 7-May
11-May 14:00 Treasury Budget Apr
12-May 8:30 Initial Claims 7-May
12-May 8:30 Continuing Claims 30-Apr
12-May 8:30 PPI Apr
12-May 8:30 Core PPI Apr
12-May 8:30 Retail Sales Apr
12-May 8:30 Retail Sales ex-auto Apr
12-May 10:00 Business Inventories Mar
13-May 8:30 CPI Apr
13-May 8:30 Core CPI Apr
13-May 9:55 Mich Sentiment May

It is virtually impossible for you to keep track of what is going on with the economy and other events that can impact the Kentucky mortgage and housing markets. Just leave it to us, we monitor the live trading of Mortgage Backed Securities which are the only thing government and conventional mortgage rates are based upon.

Find A Loan Officer

Mike Dunn, Holleigh Sharp & Jeff Sharp

Foreclosures Filings Hit 3-Year Low

U.S. foreclosure filings fell in the first quarter to the lowest level since early 2008 amid an ongoing backlog following last year’s halt in activity, according to a RealtyTrac report on Thursday.

Default notices, scheduled auctions and bank repossessions were reported on 681,153 properties, down 14.8 percent from the previous quarter and a drop of 26.9 percent from the first quarter of 2010.

It was the lowest level of foreclosures since the first quarter of 2008.

Nevada maintained the highest U.S. state foreclosure rate as one in every 35 homes had a foreclosure filing. California alone accounted for nearly a quarter of overall foreclosure activity.

Foreclosures add supply to a housing market that already has too much inventory available which helps to keep home prices down. But with very strong home sales over the past quarter and reduced foreclosures, the table is set for home prices to stabilize.

What Happened to Rates Last Week

Kentucky Mortgage Information

Kentucky Mortgage Information

Mortgage backed securities (MBS) gained +90BPS last week which pushed 30 year fixed rates downward. We had a very volatile week where we saw rates increase as well as decrease. Most of our gains occurred on Friday on the weaker than expected Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. CPI is a measure of inflation and mortgage rates react very closely to inflationary news. However, the longer term trend is still pointing towards higher mortgage rates as the very closely watched 100 day moving moving average continues its march towards higher pricing.

What to Watch Out For This Week

The following are the major economic reports that will hit the market this week. They each have the ability to affect the pricing of Mortgage Backed Securities and therefore, interest rates for Government and Conventional mortgages. We will be watching these reports closely for you and let you know if there are any big surprises:

Date ET Release For
18-Apr 10:00 NAHB Housing Market Index Apr
19-Apr 8:30 Housing Starts Mar
19-Apr 8:30 Building Permits Mar
20-Apr 7:00 MBA Mortgage Purchase Index 15-Apr
20-Apr 10:00 Existing Home Sales Mar
20-Apr 10:30 Crude Inventories 16-Apr
21-Apr 8:30 Initial Claims 16-Apr
21-Apr 8:30 Continuing Claims 16-Apr
21-Apr 10:00 Philadelphia Fed Apr
21-Apr 10:00 Leading Indicators Mar
21-Apr 10:00 FHFA Housing Price Index Feb

It is virtually impossible for you to keep track of what is going on with the economy and other events that can impact the Kentucky mortgage and housing markets. Just leave it to us, we monitor the live trading of Mortgage Backed Securities which are the only thing government and conventional mortgage rates are based upon.

Find A Loan Officer

Mike Dunn, Holleigh Sharp & Jeff Sharp

Apartment Vacancies Fall; Rents Climb

Housing affordability is a big part of the housing picture. When it is cheaper to rent, then people tend to rent more. When rents start to climb, it is a precursor to stronger demand for housing.

The vacancy rate for U.S. apartments posted a steep decline in the first quarter and rents crept higher as the job market improves. The quarterly vacancy report showed the vacancy rate dropped to 6.2 percent in the first three months of the year, down from 6.6 percent in the fourth quarter. It was the steepest fall since the commercial real estate research firm began tracking the market in 1999.

New York had the nation’s lowest vacancy rate, 2.8 percent, and its highest average rental, $2,794 a month. At the opposite end of the spectrum, Memphis, Tennessee had the nation’s highest vacancy rate, 11 percent. The average rent there was $634 a month.

What Happened to Rates Last Week

Kentucky Mortgage Information

Kentucky Mortgage Information

Mortgage backed securities (MBS) lost -92 basis points from Monday’s open to Friday’s close which helped to drive up 30 year fixed mortgage rates which react in the opposite direction.

This was primarily due to two factors: First, the safety premium or “fear factor” of Japan, Libya and other geo-political concerns were reduced (MBS trade better on global fears). Second, The European Central Bank raised their interest rates and financial markets began to consider the fact that economic growth in the U.S. will soon trigger some moderate inflation (MBS do not like inflation).

What to Watch Out For This Week

The following are the major economic reports that will hit the market this week. They each have the ability to affect the pricing of Mortgage Backed Securities and therefore, interest rates for Government and Conventional mortgages. We will be watching these reports closely for you and let you know if there are any big surprises:

Date ET Release For
12-Apr 8:30 Trade Balance Feb
12-Apr 8:30 Export Prices ex-ag. Mar
12-Apr 8:30 Import Prices ex-oil Mar
12-Apr 14:00 Treasury Budget Mar
13-Apr 7:00 MBA Mortgage Index 8-Apr
13-Apr 8:30 Retail Sales Mar
13-Apr 8:30 Retail Sales ex-auto Mar
13-Apr 10:00 Business Inventories Feb
13-Apr 10:30 Crude Inventories 9-Apr
13-Apr 14:00 Fed’s Beige Book Apr
14-Apr 8:30 Initial Claims 9-Apr
14-Apr 8:30 Continuing Claims 2-Apr
14-Apr 8:30 PPI Mar
14-Apr 8:30 Core PPI Mar
15-Apr 8:30 CPI Mar
15-Apr 8:30 Core CPI Mar
15-Apr 8:30 Empire Manufacturing Apr
15-Apr 9:00 Net Long-Term TIC Flows Feb
15-Apr 9:15 Industrial Production Mar
15-Apr 9:15 Capacity Utilization Mar
15-Apr 9:55 Mich Sentiment Apr

It is virtually impossible for you to keep track of what is going on with the economy and other events that can impact the Kentucky mortgage and housing markets. Just leave it to us, we monitor the live trading of Mortgage Backed Securities which are the only thing government and conventional mortgage rates are based upon.

Find A Loan Officer

Mike Dunn, Holleigh Sharp & Jeff Sharp

Pending Home Sales Surprise to the Upside

Pending sales of previously owned U.S. homes unexpectedly rose in February, a trade group said Monday, pointing to a modest pick-up in home sales.

The National Association of Realtors said its Pending Home Sales Index, based on contracts signed in February, increased 2.1 percent to 90.8. Economists had expected the index, which leads existing home sales by a month or two, to fall 1.0 percent after a previously reported 2.8 percent decline.

“We may not see notable gains in existing-home sales in the near term, but they’re expected to rise 5 to 10 percent this year with the economic recovery, job creation and excellent affordability conditions providing confidence to buyers who have been on the sidelines,” said NAR chief economist Lawrence Yun.

What Happened to Rates Last Week

Kentucky mortgage

Kentucky mortgage

Mortgage backed securities (MBS) gained +10 basis points from Monday’s open to Friday’s close. We had a very volatile week with rates moving upward or downward every other day. This was in reaction to several different economic reports which gave us mixed signals about our economic expansion. We ended the week on a positive note as Unemployment dropped to 8.8% and we saw some more growth in the Non-Farm Private Payroll numbers.

What to Watch Out For This Week

The following are the major economic reports that will hit the market this week. They each have the ability to affect the pricing of Mortgage Backed Securities and therefore, interest rates for Government and Conventional mortgages. We will be watching these reports closely for you and let you know if there are any big surprises:

Date ET Release For
5-Apr 10:00 ISM Services Mar
5-Apr 14:00 Fed Minutes 15-Mar
6-Apr 7:00 MBA Mortgage Index 1-Apr
6-Apr 10:30 Crude Inventories 2-Apr
7-Apr 8:30 Initial Claims 2-Apr
7-Apr 8:30 Continuing Claims 26-Mar
7-Apr 15:00 Consumer Credit Feb
8-Apr 10:00 Wholesale Inventories Feb

It is virtually impossible for you to keep track of what is going on with the economy and other events that can impact the Kentucky mortgage and housing markets. Just leave it to us, we monitor the live trading of Mortgage Backed Securities which are the only thing government and conventional mortgage rates are based upon.

Find A Loan Officer

Mike Dunn, Holleigh Sharp & Jeff Sharp

Survey: U.S. Economy Over the Worst

In another sign the American economy is on the comeback trail, a new survey from KPMG shows optimism is improving among U.S. manufacturing and service industry executives. Executives in both key sectors say the worst is behind us.

The survey shows 68 percent of manufacturing executives believe business activity will be higher in the next 12 months. That’s up from 57 percent in October.

Forty-one percent of those same executives say they plan to hire more in the weeks and months ahead. That number was just 28 percent five months ago.

As far as revenue is concerned, 65 percent of manufacturers surveyed by KPMG expect revenues to rise in the next year.

This is of course, more good news for the housing sector. As employment levels increase, so does demand for housing.

What Happened to Rates Last Week

Kentucky Mortgage - What Happened To Rates Last Week

Kentucky Mortgage - What Happened To Rates Last Week

Mortgage backed securities (MBS) lost -65 basis points from Monday’s open to Friday’s close which helped to move mortgage rates upward. Mortgage Backed Securities (and mortgage rates) moved back into a more reasonable level after the Treasury Department announced that they would begin the process of selling their vast $1.25 trillion MBS portfolio into the open market. Also, fears over Japan started to wane in the financial sectors which helped to remove a “fear factor” premium in MBS.

What to Watch Out For This Week

The following are the major economic reports that will hit the market this week. They each have the ability to affect the pricing of Mortgage Backed Securities and therefore, interest rates for Government and Conventional mortgages. We will be watching these reports closely for you and let you know if there are any big surprises:

Date ET Release For
28-Mar 8:30 Personal Income Feb
28-Mar 8:30 Personal Spending Feb
28-Mar 8:30 PCE Prices – Core Feb
28-Mar 10:00 Pending Home Sales Jan
29-Mar 9:00 Case-Shiller 20-city Index Jan
29-Mar 10:00 Consumer Confidence Mar
30-Mar 7:00 MBA Mortgage Index 25-Mar
30-Mar 7:30 Challenger Job Cuts Mar
30-Mar 8:15 ADP Employment Change Mar
30-Mar 10:30 Crude Inventories 26-Mar
31-Mar 8:30 Initial Claims 26-Mar
31-Mar 8:30 Continuing Claims 19-Mar
31-Mar 9:45 Chicago PMI Mar
31-Mar 10:00 Factory Orders Feb
1-Apr 8:30 Nonfarm Payrolls Mar
1-Apr 8:30 Nonfarm Private Payrolls Mar
1-Apr 8:30 Unemployment Rate Mar
1-Apr 8:30 Hourly Earnings Mar
1-Apr 8:30 Average Workweek Mar
1-Apr 10:00 ISM Index Mar
1-Apr 10:00 Construction Spending Feb
1-Apr 15:00 Auto Sales Apr
1-Apr 15:00 Truck Sales Apr

Mortgage Back Securities are the only thing government and conventional mortgage rates are based upon. That is why we are happy to monitor the live trading of these for you as it’s extremely difficult to keep track of the economy and other factors that impact Kentucky mortgage and housing markets.

Find A Loan Officer

Mike Dunn, Holleigh Sharp & Jeff Sharp

Vast Majority of Americans Favor Home Ownership

Despite a historic real-estate market upheaval that sent foreclosure rates skyrocketing and home values plummeting, Americans still have a deep attachment to homeownership. Furthermore, they consider homeownership an integral part of an American Dream in which they still believe, according to poll results announced today by The Allstate Corporation (NYSE: ALL) and National Journal.

The eighth quarterly Allstate-National Journal Heartland Monitor Poll revealed that nearly nine out of 10 homeowners say they would buy their homes again. That percentage held true even among homeowners who said their home values had declined. Seven of 10 Americans say they would advise a friend or family member to find a home as a long-term asset. However, while homeownership is perceived as a good personal decision, there is much greater uncertainty about whether expanding homeownership should be a government priority.

Although only 35% of respondents expect their personal financial situations to improve over the next year, three-fourths of those surveyed said it is still possible for people like them to achieve the American Dream, which the poll defined as the ability to advance as far as their talents will take them and live better than their parents did. A total of 59% said they currently are living the American Dream. Respondents identified owning your own home as one of the most critical parts of the American Dream, second only to raising a family.

What Happened to Rates Last Week

Kentucky Mortgage - What Happened To Rates Last Week

Kentucky Mortgage - What Happened To Rates Last Week

Mortgage backed securities (MBS) gained +53 basis points from Monday’s open to Friday’s close which helped to move mortgage rates down slightly. Mortgage Backed Securities shrugged off numerous economic reports that showed growth in the U.S. (which normally hurts mortgage rates) as international investors poured money in our system due to the continued global concern over the events in Japan.

What to Watch Out For This Week

The following are the major economic reports that will hit the market this week. They each have the ability to affect the pricing of Mortgage Backed Securities and therefore, interest rates for Government and Conventional mortgages. We will be watching these reports closely for you and let you know if there are any big surprises:

Date ET Release For
28-Mar 8:30 Personal Income Feb
28-Mar 8:30 Personal Spending Feb
28-Mar 8:30 PCE Prices – Core Feb
28-Mar 10:00 Pending Home Sales Jan
29-Mar 9:00 Case-Shiller 20-city Index Jan
29-Mar 10:00 Consumer Confidence Mar
30-Mar 7:00 MBA Mortgage Index 25-Mar
30-Mar 7:30 Challenger Job Cuts Mar
30-Mar 8:15 ADP Employment Change Mar
30-Mar 10:30 Crude Inventories 26-Mar
31-Mar 8:30 Initial Claims 26-Mar
31-Mar 8:30 Continuing Claims 19-Mar
31-Mar 9:45 Chicago PMI Mar
31-Mar 10:00 Factory Orders Feb
1-Apr 8:30 Nonfarm Payrolls Mar
1-Apr 8:30 Nonfarm Private Payrolls Mar
1-Apr 8:30 Unemployment Rate Mar
1-Apr 8:30 Hourly Earnings Mar
1-Apr 8:30 Average Workweek Mar
1-Apr 10:00 ISM Index Mar
1-Apr 10:00 Construction Spending Feb
1-Apr 15:00 Auto Sales Apr
1-Apr 15:00 Truck Sales Apr

Mortgage Back Securities are the only thing government and conventional mortgage rates are based upon. We are happy to monitor the live trading of these for you as it’s extremely difficult to keep track of the economy and other factors that impact Kentucky mortgage and housing markets.

Find A Loan Officer

Mike Dunn, Holleigh Sharp & Jeff Sharp

Housing Picture Continues to Brighten

Kentucky Mortgage

Kentucky Mortgage

Existing Home Sales continued their upward climb in January. This is the fourth month in a row where we have seen month-over-month gains in the number of units sold. The National Association of Realtors reported that sales rose 2.7% from December. Also, the inventory levels decreased again

Kentucky Mortgage

Kentucky Mortgage

The number one reason that the housing market tanked was due to over supply. So, with national and Bluegrass home sales increasing and inventory levels decreasing, this is certainly a trend with some momentum. All cash sales and distressed sales did increase last period. But any way that the excess inventory is gobbled up is good. It certainly shows that the demand is there and that investors are snapping up properties before prices rise. Maybe you should too?

What Happened to Rates Last Week

Kentucky Mortgage

Kentucky Mortgage

Mortgage backed securities (MBS) gained +83 basis points last week which caused 30 year fixed rates to move lower. We had a series of stronger than expected economic reports such as Consumer Confidence, Existing Home Sales and Durable Goods Orders. Normally, this positive economic data would have moved mortgage rates higher. However, mortgage backed securities (and therefore mortgage rates) benefitted from continued concern over the stability of the Middle East. U.S. Treasuries and other bonds such as mortgage backed securities saw strong demand as a pure safety play.

Date ET Release For
28-Feb 8:30 Personal Income Jan
28-Feb 8:30 Personal Spending Jan
28-Feb 8:30 PCE Prices – Core Jan
28-Feb 9:45 Chicago PMI Feb
28-Feb 10:00 Pending Home Sales Dec
1-Mar 10:00 Construction Spending Jan
1-Mar 10:00 ISM Index Feb
1-Mar 15:00 Auto Sales Mar
1-Mar 15:00 Truck Sales Mar
2-Mar 7:00 MBA Mortgage Index 25-Feb
2-Mar 7:30 Challenger Job Cuts Feb
2-Mar 8:15 ADP Employment Change Feb
2-Mar 10:30 Crude Inventories 26-Feb
2-Mar 14:00 Fed’s Beige Book Mar
3-Mar 8:30 Initial Claims 26-Feb
3-Mar 8:30 Continuing Claims 19-Feb
3-Mar 8:30 Productivity-Rev. Q4
3-Mar 8:30 Unit Labor Costs – Revised Q4
3-Mar 10:00 ISM Services Feb
4-Mar 8:30 Nonfarm Payrolls Feb
4-Mar 8:30 Nonfarm Private Payrolls Feb
4-Mar 8:30 Unemployment Rate Feb
4-Mar 8:30 Average Workweek Feb

4-Mar

8:30

Hourly Earnings

Feb

4-Mar

10:00

Factory Orders

Jan

It is virtually impossible for you to keep track of what is going on with the economy and other events that can impact the housing and mortgage markets. Just leave it to us, we monitor the live trading of Mortgage Backed Securities which are the only thing government and conventional mortgage rates are based upon.

Find A Loan Officer

Mike Dunn, Holleigh Sharp & Jeff Sharp

Proposed Housing Overhaul Will Increase Rates

The Obama administration released their ideas on how to overhaul Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and the Federal Housing Administration. Currently, all three issue mortgage backed securities that are backed or guaranteed by you the tax payer. This gives these securities very low risk and has great appeal to foreign investors that seek low risk. This is why your mortgage rates are still historically very low.

However, the proposed changes will enable the government to ease away from being such a big player in the mortgage business, moving from 95% of the total market down to as low as only 40% of the total market. By doing so, rates will naturally adjust upward to equalize with the new risk levels. These proposed changes will take a long time to pass and to be put into effect, so take advantage of today’s low rates and loan programs now while housing prices are still very affordable.

What Happened to Rates Last Week

Kentucky Mortgage - What Happened To Rates Last Week

Kentucky Mortgage - What Happened To Rates Last Week

Mortgage backed securities (MBS) lost -42 basis points last week which caused 30 year fixed rates to move higher and closed at their highest levels of 2011. As we have discussed several times, mortgage rates are pushed lower when the economy is performing poorly and their is little to no risk of inflation. So, as the economy continues its upward march out of the recession, mortgage rates are pushed upward on the stronger growth and inflationary concerns. We had a couple of strong economic reports last week. The weekly Initial Jobless Claims were much lower than expected and Wholesale Inventories saw stronger gains. Both were positives for the economy and therefore negative for mortgage rates.

What to Watch Out For This Week

The following are the major economic reports that will hit the market this week. They each have the ability to affect the pricing of Mortgage Backed Securities and therefore, interest rates for Government and Conventional mortgages. We will be watching these reports closely for you and let you know if there are any big surprises:

Date ET Release For
15-Feb 8:30 Retail Sales Jan
15-Feb 8:30 Retail Sales ex-auto Jan
15-Feb 8:30 Empire Manufacturing Feb
15-Feb 8:30 Export Prices ex-ag. Jan
15-Feb 8:30 Import Prices ex-oil Jan
15-Feb 9:00 Net Long-Term TIC Flows Dec
15-Feb 10:00 Business Inventories Dec
15-Feb 10:00 NAHB Housing Market Index Feb
16-Feb 7:00 MBA Mortgage Purchase Index 11-Feb
16-Feb 8:30 Housing Starts Jan
16-Feb 8:30 Building Permits Jan
16-Feb 8:30 PPI Jan
16-Feb 8:30 Core PPI Jan
16-Feb 9:15 Industrial Production Jan
16-Feb 9:15 Capacity Utilization Jan
16-Feb 10:30 Crude Inventories 12-Feb
16-Feb 14:00 Fed Minutes
17-Feb 8:30 CPI Jan
17-Feb 8:30 Core CPI Jan
17-Feb 8:30 Initial Claims 12-Feb
17-Feb 8:30 Continuing Claims 5-Feb
17-Feb 10:00 Leading Indicators Jan
17-Feb 10:00 Philadelphia Fed Feb

Mortgage Back Securities are the only thing government and conventional mortgage rates are based upon. That is why we are happy to monitor the live trading of these for you as it’s extremely difficult to keep track of the economy and other factors that impact Kentucky mortgage and housing markets.

Find A Loan Officer

Mike Dunn, Holleigh Sharp & Jeff Sharp

Employment Picture Brightens

Demand for housing is fueled by consumer confidence levels. And nothing impacts those levels more than how consumers feel about the job market. We had three major releases last week that gave us a better understanding of the employment picture.

First up were the Challenger Job Cuts report. This measures the number of layoffs announced by corporations. They reported that layoffs decreased by 34% in December. Next up was the ADP Private Payroll report. They measure non-farm and non-government hiring. This report showed a gain of 297,000 jobs in December which was one of the strongest increases on record. Lastly, the Labor Department reported that the national Unemployment Rate declined from 9.8% to 9.4% which is the lowest reading in 1 1/2 years.

While we certainly still have a lot of ground to make up in the job market, the above news is good for housing and certainly mirrors last month’s gains in both Existing Home Sales and Pending Home Sales.

What Happened to Rates Last Week

Kentucky Mortgage - What Happened To Rates Last Week

Kentucky Mortgage - What Happened To Rates Last Week

Mortgage backed securities (MBS) moved sideways last week but we certainly did see some big swings in mortgage rates during the middle of the week. The very strong ADP Private Payroll data pushed mortgage rates upward on Wednesday but rates moved backed down after Friday’s Unemployment report.

What to Watch Out For This Week

The following are the major economic reports that will hit the market this week. They each have the ability to affect the pricing of Mortgage Backed Securities and therefore, interest rates for Government and Conventional mortgages. We will be watching these reports closely for you and let you know if there are any big surprises:

Date ET Release For
11-Jan 10:00 Wholesale Inventories Nov
12-Jan 7:00 MBA Mortgage Purchase Index 7-Jan
12-Jan 8:30 Export Prices ex-ag. Dec
12-Jan 8:30 Import Prices ex-oil Dec
12-Jan 10:30 Crude Inventories 8-Jan
12-Jan 14:00 Treasury Budget Dec
12-Jan 14:00 Fed’s Beige Book Jan
13-Jan 8:30 Initial Claims 8-Jan
13-Jan 8:30 Continuing Claims 1-Jan
13-Jan 8:30 PPI Dec
13-Jan 8:30 Core PPI Dec
13-Jan 8:30 Trade Balance Nov
14-Jan 8:30 CPI Dec
14-Jan 8:30 Core CPI Dec
14-Jan 8:30 Retail Sales Dec
14-Jan 8:30 Retail Sales ex-auto Dec
14-Jan 9:15 Industrial Production Dec
14-Jan 9:15 Capacity Utilization Dec
14-Jan 9:55 Mich Sentiment Jan
14-Jan 10:00 Business Inventories Nov

Mortgage Back Securities are the only thing government and conventional mortgage rates are based upon. That is why we are happy to monitor the live trading of these for you as it’s extremely difficult to keep track of the economy and other factors that impact Kentucky mortgage and housing markets.

Find A Loan Officer

Mike Dunn, Holleigh Sharp & Jeff Sharp

Pending Home Sales Jump

Contracts for pending sales of previously owned U.S. homes rose much faster than expected in November. This follows last week’s surprise gain in existing home sales. A pending home sale is when a contract has been signed between a buyer and a seller but the home has not yet closed.

The National Association of Realtors reported a rise of 3.5% in November, economists had expected an increase of only 2%. Once again, we are seeing a little stronger than expected demand which has been following a very clear pattern of strength over the past four months.

What Happened to Rates Last Week

Kentucky Mortgage - What Happened To Rates Last Week

Kentucky Mortgage - What Happened To Rates Last Week

Mortgage backed securities (MBS) gained +86 basis points from Monday’s open to Friday’s close causing 30 year fixed rates to decrease from the previous week. We had several very strong economic reports such as Initial Jobless claims and Chicago PMI. Normally, the strength in these economic reports would have pressured National and more importantly Kentucky mortgage rates higher. But traders parked their funds into the safe and boring world of mortgage backed securities before the end of the year which helped mortgage rates temporarily.

What to Watch Out For This Week

The following are the major economic reports that will hit the market this week. They each have the ability to affect the pricing of Mortgage Backed Securities and therefore, interest rates for Government and Conventional mortgages. We will be watching these reports closely for you and let you know if there are any big surprises:

Date ET Release For
3-Jan 10:00 Construction Spending Nov
3-Jan 10:00 ISM Index Dec
4-Jan 10:00 Factory Orders Nov
4-Jan 14:00 FOMC Minutes
4-Jan 15:00 Auto Sales Jan
4-Jan 15:00 Truck Sales Jan
5-Jan 7:00 MBA Mortgage Purchase Index 31-Dec
5-Jan 7:30 Challenger Job Cuts Dec
5-Jan 8:15 ADP Employment Change Dec
5-Jan 10:00 ISM Services Dec
5-Jan 10:30 Crude Inventories 1-Jan
6-Jan 8:30 Initial Claims 1-Jan
6-Jan 8:30 Continuing Claims 25-Dec
7-Jan 8:30 Nonfarm Payrolls Dec
7-Jan 8:30 Nonfarm Private Payrolls Dec
7-Jan 8:30 Unemployment Rate Dec
7-Jan 8:30 Hourly Earnings Dec
7-Jan 8:30 Average Workweek Dec
7-Jan 15:00 Consumer Credit Nov

We know that purchasing a Bluegrass home is very stressful and Mortgage Back Securities are the only thing government and conventional mortgage rates are based upon. That is why we are happy to monitor the live trading of these for you as it’s extremely difficult to keep track of the economy and other factors that impact mortgage and housing markets. As always, if there is anything that we can do to help please contact us!

Find A Loan Officer

Mike Dunn, Holleigh Sharp & Jeff Sharp