Nonfarm Payroll Surge
Nonfarm payrolls surged in April as firms added 244,000 new jobs during the month. The consensus expected payrolls to increase by only 200,000 jobs.
On top of the April gains, payrolls in February and March were revised up from 194,000 and 216,000, respectively, to 235,000 and 221,000. This marks the seventh straight monthly increase in Nonfarm payrolls. Most view this report as much more valuable than the Unemployment Rate.
It is no coincidence that we have seen some stronger than expected monthly gains in Existing Home Sales because demand for housing is, of course, directly tied to jobs.
What Happened to Rates Last Week
Mortgage backed securities (MBS) gained +275 basis points last week which helped to push 30 year fixed rates to close at their lowest levels since November 2010. Why the big decrease in mortgage rates? Well, its another Greek tragedy. Greece is part of the P.I.I.G.S (Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Greece and Spain). The P.I.I.G.S are viewed by all the rating agencies as having a higher potential to default on their debt compared to the rest of the European Union (EU). In fact, Greece has already had one major bailout from the IMF and the EU. U.S. Treasuries and Mortgage Backed Securities had huge gains last week due to wide speculation that Greece would need another bailout and there were even reports that they threatened to leave the EU.
What to Watch Out For This Week
The following are the major economic reports that will hit the market this week. They each have the ability to affect the pricing of Mortgage Backed Securities and therefore, interest rates for Government and Conventional mortgages. We will be watching these reports closely for you and let you know if there are any big surprises:
| Date | ET | Release | For |
| 10-May | 8:30 | Export Prices ex-ag. | Apr |
| 10-May | 8:30 | Import Prices ex-oil | Apr |
| 10-May | 10:00 | Wholesale Inventories | Mar |
| 11-May | 7:00 | MBA Mortgage Index | 6-May |
| 11-May | 8:30 | Trade Balance | Mar |
| 11-May | 10:30 | Crude Inventories | 7-May |
| 11-May | 14:00 | Treasury Budget | Apr |
| 12-May | 8:30 | Initial Claims | 7-May |
| 12-May | 8:30 | Continuing Claims | 30-Apr |
| 12-May | 8:30 | PPI | Apr |
| 12-May | 8:30 | Core PPI | Apr |
| 12-May | 8:30 | Retail Sales | Apr |
| 12-May | 8:30 | Retail Sales ex-auto | Apr |
| 12-May | 10:00 | Business Inventories | Mar |
| 13-May | 8:30 | CPI | Apr |
| 13-May | 8:30 | Core CPI | Apr |
| 13-May | 9:55 | Mich Sentiment | May |
It is virtually impossible for you to keep track of what is going on with the economy and other events that can impact the Kentucky mortgage and housing markets. Just leave it to us, we monitor the live trading of Mortgage Backed Securities which are the only thing government and conventional mortgage rates are based upon.




















