Housing Picture Continues to Brighten
Existing Home Sales continued their upward climb in January. This is the fourth month in a row where we have seen month-over-month gains in the number of units sold. The National Association of Realtors reported that sales rose 2.7% from December. Also, the inventory levels decreased again
The number one reason that the housing market tanked was due to over supply. So, with national and Bluegrass home sales increasing and inventory levels decreasing, this is certainly a trend with some momentum. All cash sales and distressed sales did increase last period. But any way that the excess inventory is gobbled up is good. It certainly shows that the demand is there and that investors are snapping up properties before prices rise. Maybe you should too?
What Happened to Rates Last Week
Mortgage backed securities (MBS) gained +83 basis points last week which caused 30 year fixed rates to move lower. We had a series of stronger than expected economic reports such as Consumer Confidence, Existing Home Sales and Durable Goods Orders. Normally, this positive economic data would have moved mortgage rates higher. However, mortgage backed securities (and therefore mortgage rates) benefitted from continued concern over the stability of the Middle East. U.S. Treasuries and other bonds such as mortgage backed securities saw strong demand as a pure safety play.
| Date | ET | Release | For |
| 28-Feb | 8:30 | Personal Income | Jan |
| 28-Feb | 8:30 | Personal Spending | Jan |
| 28-Feb | 8:30 | PCE Prices – Core | Jan |
| 28-Feb | 9:45 | Chicago PMI | Feb |
| 28-Feb | 10:00 | Pending Home Sales | Dec |
| 1-Mar | 10:00 | Construction Spending | Jan |
| 1-Mar | 10:00 | ISM Index | Feb |
| 1-Mar | 15:00 | Auto Sales | Mar |
| 1-Mar | 15:00 | Truck Sales | Mar |
| 2-Mar | 7:00 | MBA Mortgage Index | 25-Feb |
| 2-Mar | 7:30 | Challenger Job Cuts | Feb |
| 2-Mar | 8:15 | ADP Employment Change | Feb |
| 2-Mar | 10:30 | Crude Inventories | 26-Feb |
| 2-Mar | 14:00 | Fed’s Beige Book | Mar |
| 3-Mar | 8:30 | Initial Claims | 26-Feb |
| 3-Mar | 8:30 | Continuing Claims | 19-Feb |
| 3-Mar | 8:30 | Productivity-Rev. | Q4 |
| 3-Mar | 8:30 | Unit Labor Costs – Revised | Q4 |
| 3-Mar | 10:00 | ISM Services | Feb |
| 4-Mar | 8:30 | Nonfarm Payrolls | Feb |
| 4-Mar | 8:30 | Nonfarm Private Payrolls | Feb |
| 4-Mar | 8:30 | Unemployment Rate | Feb |
| 4-Mar | 8:30 | Average Workweek | Feb |
4-Mar |
8:30 |
Hourly Earnings |
Feb |
4-Mar |
10:00 |
Factory Orders |
Jan |
It is virtually impossible for you to keep track of what is going on with the economy and other events that can impact the housing and mortgage markets. Just leave it to us, we monitor the live trading of Mortgage Backed Securities which are the only thing government and conventional mortgage rates are based upon.




















